Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana

Adewole S. Oladelea, Adeniyi F. Fagbamigbeb, Thabo M. Bafitlhilec

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

    Abstract

    The global challenges of climate change especially in Palapye, Botswana have to be addressed to make transport facilities sustainable. Transport facilities such as storm water drainage systems is central to sustainable road transportation networks but needs to be decoupled from impacts of climate change. Data on daily rainfall in Palapye between June 1989 and December 2012 was collected. Daily average rainfall for each of the years was determined to assess fluctuations in the volume of rainfall. The data was classified to 4 quarters in a year (1st January-March; 2nd April-June; 3rd July-September; 4th OctoberDecember). Trends in monthly and quarterly variations were assessed. All the estimates were smoothed using moving average methods to determine the time period with the highest peak. The analysis showed an increase in the volume of rainfall between 1989 and 2012 with 2000 having highest volume of downpours. In conclusion, the average daily rainfall in Palapye increased linearly between 1989 and 2012 although there were wide variations across the months and quarters. Most rainfalls occur in quarters 4 and 1 which comprises mainly of November, December, January and February. This research contributes to knowledge as guidance on sustainable transport facilities planning for National Development Plan in Botswana.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016
    PublisherActa Press
    Pages293-300
    Number of pages8
    ISBN (Electronic)9780889869844
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2016
    Event6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016 - Gaborone, Botswana
    Duration: Sep 5 2016Sep 7 2016

    Other

    Other6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016
    CountryBotswana
    CityGaborone
    Period9/5/169/7/16

    Fingerprint

    Trend Analysis
    Climate Change
    Rainfall
    Climate change
    Rain
    Time series
    Modeling
    Road Transportation
    Transportation Networks
    Road Network
    Moving Average
    Drainage
    Guidance
    Linearly
    Planning
    Fluctuations
    Water
    Estimate

    All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

    • Modelling and Simulation
    • Computer Science Applications
    • Software

    Cite this

    Oladelea, A. S., Fagbamigbeb, A. F., & Bafitlhilec, T. M. (2016). Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana. In Proceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016 (pp. 293-300). Acta Press. https://doi.org/10.2316/P.2016.838-028
    Oladelea, Adewole S. ; Fagbamigbeb, Adeniyi F. ; Bafitlhilec, Thabo M. / Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana. Proceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016. Acta Press, 2016. pp. 293-300
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    title = "Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana",
    abstract = "The global challenges of climate change especially in Palapye, Botswana have to be addressed to make transport facilities sustainable. Transport facilities such as storm water drainage systems is central to sustainable road transportation networks but needs to be decoupled from impacts of climate change. Data on daily rainfall in Palapye between June 1989 and December 2012 was collected. Daily average rainfall for each of the years was determined to assess fluctuations in the volume of rainfall. The data was classified to 4 quarters in a year (1st January-March; 2nd April-June; 3rd July-September; 4th OctoberDecember). Trends in monthly and quarterly variations were assessed. All the estimates were smoothed using moving average methods to determine the time period with the highest peak. The analysis showed an increase in the volume of rainfall between 1989 and 2012 with 2000 having highest volume of downpours. In conclusion, the average daily rainfall in Palapye increased linearly between 1989 and 2012 although there were wide variations across the months and quarters. Most rainfalls occur in quarters 4 and 1 which comprises mainly of November, December, January and February. This research contributes to knowledge as guidance on sustainable transport facilities planning for National Development Plan in Botswana.",
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    Oladelea, AS, Fagbamigbeb, AF & Bafitlhilec, TM 2016, Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana. in Proceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016. Acta Press, pp. 293-300, 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016, Gaborone, Botswana, 9/5/16. https://doi.org/10.2316/P.2016.838-028

    Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana. / Oladelea, Adewole S.; Fagbamigbeb, Adeniyi F.; Bafitlhilec, Thabo M.

    Proceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016. Acta Press, 2016. p. 293-300.

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

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    AB - The global challenges of climate change especially in Palapye, Botswana have to be addressed to make transport facilities sustainable. Transport facilities such as storm water drainage systems is central to sustainable road transportation networks but needs to be decoupled from impacts of climate change. Data on daily rainfall in Palapye between June 1989 and December 2012 was collected. Daily average rainfall for each of the years was determined to assess fluctuations in the volume of rainfall. The data was classified to 4 quarters in a year (1st January-March; 2nd April-June; 3rd July-September; 4th OctoberDecember). Trends in monthly and quarterly variations were assessed. All the estimates were smoothed using moving average methods to determine the time period with the highest peak. The analysis showed an increase in the volume of rainfall between 1989 and 2012 with 2000 having highest volume of downpours. In conclusion, the average daily rainfall in Palapye increased linearly between 1989 and 2012 although there were wide variations across the months and quarters. Most rainfalls occur in quarters 4 and 1 which comprises mainly of November, December, January and February. This research contributes to knowledge as guidance on sustainable transport facilities planning for National Development Plan in Botswana.

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    Oladelea AS, Fagbamigbeb AF, Bafitlhilec TM. Modelling climate change effects on sustainable transport facilities through time series and rainfall trend analysis of Palapye-Botswana. In Proceedings of the 6th IASTED International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, AfricaMS 2016. Acta Press. 2016. p. 293-300 https://doi.org/10.2316/P.2016.838-028